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Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 47.29%2.11fair odd
EV +0.728%
Edge +0.342%
Kelly +0.644%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.94%47.29%47.18%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.012.002.1353.19%49.82%50.00%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 52.71%1.90fair odd
EV +0.149%
Edge +0.078%
Kelly +0.166%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.71%52.82%54.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.801.9057.47%55.26%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 47.29%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 52.71%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.13, producing a positive expected value of +0.728%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV +0.728%E +0.342%K +0.644%G +0.005% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -4.59%E -2.54%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV +0.255%E +0.120%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -4.59%E -2.54%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV +0.255%E +0.120%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -4.59%E -2.54%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-31 18:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.96%E -1.05%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-31 17:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.43%E -0.766%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 18:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.53%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.65%E -3.16%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.47%E -2.21%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.47%E -2.21%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 18:10 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.47%E -2.21%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.47%E -2.21%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.65%E -3.16%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.47%E -2.21%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.65%E -3.16%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.95%E -2.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -2.49%E -1.34%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.49%E -1.34%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 16:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:04 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:05 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.89%E -2.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.07%E -2.24%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.07%E -2.24%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.84%E -3.47%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.59%E -2.54%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.31%E -3.73%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.01%E -1.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 16:54 |
| betano_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.78%E -3.99%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 17:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.78%E -3.99%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 16:58 |
| ReBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -6.70%E -3.79%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.15%E -5.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.149%E +0.078%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -10.62%E -5.62%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -7.76%E -4.43%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -11.09%E -5.90%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -8.28%E -4.76%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-31 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 16:55 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-07-31 16:55 |
| Novig | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72% | 9.0% | 2026-07-31 19:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 18:10 |
Arbitrage (3 combinations) +0.42%GTbets 2.13 (47.1%) / Paddy Power 1.90 (52.9%)Show all 3 combinations
| Cincinnati Reds (Local) | Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| GTbets 2.13 (47.1%) | Paddy Power 1.90 (52.9%) | +0.422% |
| LowVig.ag 2.12 (47.3%) | Paddy Power 1.90 (52.7%) | +0.199% |
| BetOnline.ag 2.12 (47.3%) | Paddy Power 1.90 (52.7%) | +0.199% |