Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 47.65%2.10fair odd
EV +0.060%
Edge +0.028%
Kelly +0.054%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.59%47.71%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.002.002.1052.36%50.00%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 52.35%1.91fair odd
EV -0.530%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.589%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.41%52.29%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.831.9057.47%54.78%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 47.65%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 52.35%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.099. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.060%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.060%E +0.028%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.417%E -0.199%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.417%E -0.199%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.893%E -0.430%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -0.893%E -0.430%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.37%E -0.662%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.62%E -1.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.37%E -0.662%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 22:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 17:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.91%E -5.12%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.28%E -1.61%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -6.29%E -3.51%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.530%E -0.279%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.67%E -2.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.23%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.67%E -2.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 22:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 05:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 22:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 22:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 22:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 22:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 22:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.18%E -2.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 20:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 21:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.24%E -2.90%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.67%E -2.00%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 22:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.56%E -3.90%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.34%E -4.14%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 20:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-08-01 22:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.97% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
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