Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-08-01 22:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 1–4 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 47.65%2.10odd justa
EV +0.060%
Vantagem +0.028%
Kelly +0.054%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.91%47.59%47.71%48.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.002.002.1052.36%50.00%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 52.35%1.91odd justa
EV -0.530%
Vantagem -0.279%
Kelly -0.589%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.05%52.41%52.29%54.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.831.831.9057.47%54.78%54.64%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 47.65%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 52.35%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.099. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.100, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.060%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.060%E +0.028%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.417%E -0.199%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.417%E -0.199%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 22:30
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.893%E -0.430%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 21:45
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -0.893%E -0.430%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-01 22:35
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.37%E -0.662%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.62%E -1.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 22:35
Everygame🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.37%E -0.662%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 22:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 22:14
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 22:39
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 17:29
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.91%E -5.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 22:15
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.28%E -1.61%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -6.29%E -3.51%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:45
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.530%E -0.279%K -0.589%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 22:15
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-01 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-01 21:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.67%E -2.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 22:15
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.23%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.67%E -2.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 22:19
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 05:49
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 22:15
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 22:29
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 22:14
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 22:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 22:14
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 22:15
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 22:15
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 22:14
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 22:29
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 22:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 22:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 22:14
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:19
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 22:39
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.18%E -2.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 22:20
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:14
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:39
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.15%E -1.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:45
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:45
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:05
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:44
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.24%E -2.90%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.67%E -2.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 22:09
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 22:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 20:14
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 22:30
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 22:29
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.56%E -3.90%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.34%E -4.14%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 22:14
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 20:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-01 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-08-01 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-08-01 22:40
Novig◎2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%0.9%2026-08-01 22:40
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-01 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-08-01 22:20
BetOpenly◎2.05I 48.78%NM 47.97%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.03%1.7%2026-08-01 22:39
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-08-01 22:40
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-08-01 22:40
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.3%2026-08-01 22:35