預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-01 22:41 UTC — MLB

獨贏

35 家博彩公司 (12 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Cincinnati Reds (主隊)

預測 46.91%2.13公平賠率
EV -0.085%
優勢 -0.040%
Kelly -0.075%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.13

博彩公司預測分布
45.94%46.97%46.87%50.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.902.022.022.1352.63%49.59%49.50%46.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Pittsburgh Pirates (客隊)

預測 53.09%1.88公平賠率
EV +0.874%
優勢 +0.460%
Kelly +0.971%
成長率 +0.008%

假設最高賠率為 1.90

博彩公司預測分布
50.00%53.03%53.13%54.06%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.721.801.801.9058.14%55.54%55.56%52.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Cincinnati Reds (主隊):46.91%;Pittsburgh Pirates (客隊):53.09%。 對於「Pittsburgh Pirates (客隊)」,該估計相當於1.88的公平十進位賠率。 有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為1.90,因此產生+0.874%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (35 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.87%E -5.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.874%E +0.460%K +0.971%G +0.008%5.3%2026-07-31 16:55
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.719%E -0.385%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 18:19
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.25%E -0.672%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 17:04
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.78%E -0.963%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 16:54
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.06%E -4.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.31%E -1.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 16:54
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.84%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:09
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.65%E -3.34%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 18:09
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.085%E -0.040%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 18:09
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.554%E -0.261%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 18:09
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.554%E -0.261%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 18:10
MyBookie.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.31%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 20:08
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:09
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:09
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:09
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:09
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.24%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:04
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.24%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.24%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:10
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.24%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:09
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:04
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:04
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:05
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:19
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.31%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.97%E -2.77%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 18:09
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.24%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.97%E -2.77%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:14
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.24%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.97%E -2.77%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:14
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 20:10
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 20:04
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 20:04
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 20:04
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 20:04
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.94%E -5.17%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.68%E -5.05%K -12.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.94%E -5.17%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.68%E -5.05%K -12.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 20:05
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-31 16:55
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-07-31 16:55
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%6.0%2026-07-31 20:08
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%10.2%2026-07-31 20:05
套利(3 種組合) +0.42%GTbets 2.13 (47.1%) / Paddy Power 1.90 (52.9%)顯示全部 3 種組合
Cincinnati Reds (主隊)Pittsburgh Pirates (客隊)利潤率
GTbets 2.13 (47.1%)Paddy Power 1.90 (52.9%)+0.422%
LowVig.ag 2.12 (47.3%)Paddy Power 1.90 (52.7%)+0.199%
BetOnline.ag 2.12 (47.3%)Paddy Power 1.90 (52.7%)+0.199%