Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-01 22:41 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cincinnati Reds (Casa)

Previsione 46.94%2.13quota equa
EV -0.027%
Vantaggio -0.013%
Kelly -0.024%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.94%47.03%46.87%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.012.012.1352.63%49.63%49.75%46.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.06%1.88quota equa
EV +0.822%
Vantaggio +0.433%
Kelly +0.913%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%52.97%53.13%54.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.801.801.9058.14%55.48%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Cincinnati Reds (Casa): 46.94%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Trasferta): 53.06%. Per Pittsburgh Pirates (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 1.88. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 1.90, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.822%.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.82%E -5.70%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.822%E +0.433%K +0.913%G +0.008%5.3%2026-07-31 16:55
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.770%E -0.412%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 18:19
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.30%E -0.699%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 17:04
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -5.66%E -2.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 18:14
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.83%E -0.990%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 16:54
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.01%E -4.08%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 16:54
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.89%E -1.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:09
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.60%E -3.32%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.42%E -1.88%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 18:09
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.024%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 18:09
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.496%E -0.234%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 18:09
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.496%E -0.234%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.54%E -3.83%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 18:14
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:09
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:09
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:09
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:09
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:04
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:10
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:09
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:04
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:04
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:05
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:19
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 18:09
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:14
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.02%E -2.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:14
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.55%E -3.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 20:04
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 20:04
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.14%E -4.08%K -9.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 20:04
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.48%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 20:04
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.88%E -5.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.73%E -5.08%K -12.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.88%E -5.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.73%E -5.08%K -12.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 20:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-31 16:55
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-07-31 16:55
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-07-31 19:48
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%10.2%2026-07-31 20:05
Arbitraggio (3 combinazioni) +0.42%GTbets 2.13 (47.1%) / Paddy Power 1.90 (52.9%)Mostra tutte le 3 combinazioni
Cincinnati Reds (Casa)Pittsburgh Pirates (Trasferta)Margine
GTbets 2.13 (47.1%)Paddy Power 1.90 (52.9%)+0.422%
LowVig.ag 2.12 (47.3%)Paddy Power 1.90 (52.7%)+0.199%
BetOnline.ag 2.12 (47.3%)Paddy Power 1.90 (52.7%)+0.199%