Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 43.71%2.29fair odd
EV +0.541%
Edge +0.235%
Kelly +0.416%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.74%43.73%45.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.46%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 56.29%1.78fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.856%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%56.26%56.27%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.28%59.17%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 43.71%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 56.29%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.541%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.541%E +0.235%K +0.416%G +0.002% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.541%E +0.235%K +0.416%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.25%E -5.06%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -2.08%E -0.930%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 16:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.27%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 16:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.14%E -2.37%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.58%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.58%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.45%E -3.02%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.50%E -0.856%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.4% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 3.0% | 2026-04-01 16:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 16:40 |