Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 16:43 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 43.71%2.29cote équitable
EV +0.541%
Avantage +0.235%
Kelly +0.416%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%43.74%43.73%45.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.46%45.45%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.29%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.856%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.38%56.26%56.27%58.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.28%59.17%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cincinnati Reds (Local) : 43.71% ; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur) : 56.29%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.29. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.30, soit une espérance positive de +0.541%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.541%E +0.235%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 16:39
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.541%E +0.235%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:39
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 16:39
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.25%E -5.06%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 16:39
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:39
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -2.08%E -0.930%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:38
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:39
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:39
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:40
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 16:39
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.27%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 16:38
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.14%E -2.37%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.58%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 16:39
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.58%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 16:39
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.45%E -3.02%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.50%E -0.856%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 16:39
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-04-01 16:40
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-04-01 16:40
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-04-01 16:40
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-04-01 16:40
BetOpenly2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-04-01 16:39
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%3.9%2026-04-01 16:40