默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

开赛时间: 2026-04-01 16:43 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds (主队)

预测 43.71%2.29公平赔率
EV +0.541%
优势 +0.235%
Kelly +0.416%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
41.33%43.74%43.73%45.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.46%45.45%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)

预测 56.29%1.78公平赔率
EV -1.50%
优势 -0.856%
Kelly -2.00%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
54.38%56.26%56.27%58.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.28%59.17%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cincinnati Reds (主队):43.71%;Pittsburgh Pirates (客队):56.29%。 对于“Cincinnati Reds (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.29。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.30,对应+0.541%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.541%E +0.235%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 16:39
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.541%E +0.235%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:39
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 16:39
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.25%E -5.06%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 16:39
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:39
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -2.08%E -0.930%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:38
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:39
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:39
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:40
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 16:39
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.27%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 16:38
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.14%E -2.37%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.58%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 16:39
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.58%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 16:39
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.45%E -3.02%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.50%E -0.856%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 16:39
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 16:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-04-01 16:40
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-04-01 16:40
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-04-01 16:40
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-04-01 16:40
BetOpenly2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-04-01 16:39
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%3.9%2026-04-01 16:40