A Escola das Odds

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-04-01 16:43 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 43.71%2.29odd justa
EV +0.541%
Vantagem +0.235%
Kelly +0.416%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%43.74%43.73%45.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.46%45.45%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 56.29%1.78odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.856%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.38%56.26%56.27%58.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.28%59.17%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.541%E +0.235%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 16:39
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.541%E +0.235%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:39
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 16:39
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 16:39
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:40
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:39
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.25%E -5.06%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 16:39
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:39
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -2.08%E -0.930%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 16:39
MyBookie.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:38
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:39
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:39
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:39
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:40
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 16:39
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 16:39
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.27%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 16:38
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:40
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.14%E -2.37%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.58%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 16:39
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.58%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 16:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.45%E -3.02%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.50%E -0.856%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 16:39
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 16:40
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-04-01 16:40
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-04-01 16:40
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-04-01 16:40
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-04-01 16:40
BetOpenly2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-04-01 16:39
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%3.9%2026-04-01 16:40