مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

البداية: 2026-04-01 16:43 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.71%2.29السعر العادل
EV +0.541%
الأفضلية +0.235%
Kelly +0.416%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.33%43.74%43.73%45.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.46%45.45%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (الضيف)

التنبؤ 56.29%1.78السعر العادل
EV -1.50%
الأفضلية -0.856%
Kelly -2.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.38%56.26%56.27%58.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.28%59.17%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.541%E +0.235%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 16:39
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.541%E +0.235%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:39
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 16:39
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-01 16:39
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:40
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:39
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.25%E -5.06%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 16:39
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.82%E -5.44%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:39
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -2.08%E -0.930%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 16:39
MyBookie.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:38
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:39
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:39
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:39
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:40
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 16:39
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 16:39
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.27%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 16:38
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:39
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:40
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.14%E -2.37%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.58%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 16:39
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.58%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.88%E -2.88%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 16:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:39
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 16:40
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.45%E -3.02%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.50%E -0.856%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 16:39
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.20%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:39
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 16:40
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.39%E -5.07%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.31%E -2.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 16:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-04-01 16:40
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-04-01 16:40
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-04-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-04-01 16:40
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-01 16:40
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-04-01 16:40
BetOpenly2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-04-01 16:39
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%3.9%2026-04-01 16:40