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Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 39.06%2.56fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.454%
Kelly +0.739%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%39.29%39.05%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.452.5944.44%41.08%40.90%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 60.94%1.64fair odd
EV +0.545%
Edge +0.330%
Kelly +0.838%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%60.71%60.95%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.71%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.89%EV +1.18%E +0.454%K +0.739%G +0.009% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.11%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Fliff | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.99%E -5.29%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.778%E -0.306%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| GTbets | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.17%E -0.462%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Bovada | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| ReBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 23:08 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-09 22:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 21:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:08 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.68%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 21:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| Bally Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 21:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -5.86%E -2.43%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +0.545%E +0.330%K +0.838%G +0.005% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 19:34 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-09 23:08 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-09 20:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 22:44 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-09 20:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 21:44 |
| Betsson | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.42%E -3.13%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.42%E -3.13%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-09 22:43 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -8.98%E -3.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -0.065%E -0.039%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-09 22:56 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Polymarket | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Novig | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-09 22:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| BetOpenly | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |