Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-09 23:11 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 0–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 39.06%2.56cote équitable
EV +1.18%
Avantage +0.454%
Kelly +0.739%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%39.29%39.05%41.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.432.452.5944.44%41.08%40.90%38.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.94%1.64cote équitable
EV +0.545%
Avantage +0.330%
Kelly +0.838%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%60.71%60.95%62.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.71%63.69%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cincinnati Reds (Local) : 39.06% ; Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur) : 60.94%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.56. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.59, soit une espérance positive de +1.18%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.89%EV +1.18%E +0.454%K +0.739%G +0.009%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.11%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-09 23:09
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-09 22:39
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.99%E -5.29%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.778%E -0.306%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 23:10
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.17%E -0.462%K -0.764%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 22:39
Bovada🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 23:10
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-09 22:54
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 23:09
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 23:09
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:10
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 23:08
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-09 22:55
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 22:45
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 21:44
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 23:04
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:08
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 23:09
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 23:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 23:04
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.68%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:54
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:55
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:54
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:55
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:54
SportsBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 21:44
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -5.86%E -2.43%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +0.545%E +0.330%K +0.838%G +0.005%2.1%2026-07-09 19:34
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 23:08
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 20:24
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 22:44
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 22:55
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 22:55
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 22:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 23:09
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 20:04
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 21:44
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.42%E -3.13%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 23:10
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.42%E -3.13%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 23:09
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 22:43
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -8.98%E -3.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -0.065%E -0.039%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 23:10
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 23:10
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 22:56
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-07-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-07-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-07-09 23:10
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-07-09 23:10
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-07-09 23:10
ProphetX2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-07-09 23:10
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-09 22:25
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-07-09 23:10
BetOpenly2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-07-09 23:09
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-07-09 23:10