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Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева)
Прогноз 39.06%2.56справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.18%
Преимущество +0.454%
Kelly +0.739%
Рост +0.009%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.59
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.04%39.29%39.05%41.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.252.432.452.5944.44%41.08%40.90%38.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Philadelphia Phillies (Гости)
Прогноз 60.94%1.64справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.545%
Преимущество +0.330%
Kelly +0.838%
Рост +0.005%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.44%60.71%60.95%62.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.71%63.69%60.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева): 39.06%; Philadelphia Phillies (Гости): 60.94%. Для исхода «Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.56. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.59, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.18%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.89%EV +1.18%E +0.454%K +0.739%G +0.009% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.11%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.99%E -5.29%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.778%E -0.306%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.17%E -0.462%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 23:08 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-09 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 21:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.68%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 21:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 21:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -5.86%E -2.43%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +0.545%E +0.330%K +0.838%G +0.005% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 19:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-09 23:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-09 20:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 22:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-09 20:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.42%E -3.13%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.42%E -3.13%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-09 22:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -8.98%E -3.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -0.065%E -0.039%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-09 22:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-09 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |