Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies

Początek: 2026-07-09 23:11 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cincinnati Reds 0–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cincinnati Reds (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 39.06%2.56kurs godziwy
EV +1.18%
Przewaga +0.454%
Kelly +0.739%
Wzrost +0.009%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.59

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.04%39.29%39.05%41.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.432.452.5944.44%41.08%40.90%38.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Philadelphia Phillies (Goście)

Prognoza 60.94%1.64kurs godziwy
EV +0.545%
Przewaga +0.330%
Kelly +0.838%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.44%60.71%60.95%62.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.71%63.69%60.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Cincinnati Reds (Gospodarze): 39.06%; Philadelphia Phillies (Goście): 60.94%. Dla wyniku Cincinnati Reds (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.56. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.59, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.18%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.89%EV +1.18%E +0.454%K +0.739%G +0.009%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.11%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-09 23:09
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-09 22:39
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.99%E -5.29%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.778%E -0.306%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 23:10
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.17%E -0.462%K -0.764%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 22:39
Bovada🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 23:10
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-09 22:54
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 23:09
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 23:09
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:10
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 23:08
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-09 22:55
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 22:45
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 21:44
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 23:04
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:08
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 23:09
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 23:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 23:04
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.68%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:54
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:55
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:54
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:55
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:54
SportsBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 21:44
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -5.86%E -2.43%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +0.545%E +0.330%K +0.838%G +0.005%2.1%2026-07-09 19:34
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 23:08
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 20:24
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 22:44
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 22:55
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 22:55
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 22:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 23:09
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 20:04
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 21:44
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.42%E -3.13%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 23:10
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.42%E -3.13%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 23:09
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 22:43
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -8.98%E -3.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -0.065%E -0.039%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 23:10
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 23:10
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 22:56
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 23:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-07-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-07-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-07-09 23:10
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-07-09 23:10
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-07-09 23:10
ProphetX2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-07-09 23:10
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-09 22:25
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-07-09 23:10
BetOpenly2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-07-09 23:09
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-07-09 23:10