La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Predicción 39.06%2.56momio equitativo
EV +1.18%
Ventaja +0.454%
Kelly +0.739%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%39.29%39.05%41.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.432.452.5944.44%41.08%40.90%38.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)
Predicción 60.94%1.64momio equitativo
EV +0.545%
Ventaja +0.330%
Kelly +0.838%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%60.71%60.95%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.71%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.89%EV +1.18%E +0.454%K +0.739%G +0.009% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.11%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Fliff | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.99%E -5.29%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.387%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.778%E -0.306%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| GTbets | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.17%E -0.462%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Bovada | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| ReBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.12%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 23:08 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.11%E -1.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-09 22:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 21:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:08 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 23:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.68%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 21:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| Bally Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 21:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -5.86%E -2.43%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV +0.545%E +0.330%K +0.838%G +0.005% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 19:34 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-09 23:08 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-09 20:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 22:44 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-09 20:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 21:44 |
| Betsson | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.42%E -3.13%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.42%E -3.13%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-09 22:43 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -8.98%E -3.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -0.065%E -0.039%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-09 22:56 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.50%E -1.56%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Polymarket | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Novig | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-09 22:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| BetOpenly | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |