Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.674%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%46.95%46.92%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1051.28%49.04%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.709%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.05%53.08%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.801.8658.14%55.67%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 46.95%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 53.05%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.86, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -1.41%E -0.674%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.41%E -0.674%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 16:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.41%E -0.674%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 07:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.41%E -0.674%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.88%E -0.902%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.32%E -0.709%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.62%E -3.76%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.70%E -2.32%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.64%E -2.81%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.68%E -4.42%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.05%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.05%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.75%E -5.08%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.99%E -4.08%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 17:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 17:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 15:40 |