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Cincinnati Reds v Miami Marlins

2026-08-16 17:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 46.76%2.14fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.861%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.78%46.72%48.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.022.1052.36%49.46%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visit)

Prediction 53.24%1.88fair odd
EV -0.971%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.72%53.22%53.28%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.801.801.8657.47%55.44%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 46.76%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 53.24%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.86, with an expected value of -0.971%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.81%E -0.861%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 18:29
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.81%E -0.861%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 20:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.81%E -0.861%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.81%E -0.861%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.76%E -3.26%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.27%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.27%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 18:19
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.27%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 23:17
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.27%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-16 00:29
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.21%E -1.55%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.971%E -0.522%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 18:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.63%E -2.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:24
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:24
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 22:09
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 00:04
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 01:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.76%E -3.26%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 01:44
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:29
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.10%E -1.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 21:44
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 22:05
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.70%E -2.62%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.61%E -2.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.23%E -2.94%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:24
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.08%E -2.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.63%E -2.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 21:44
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.55%E -2.75%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.55%E -2.75%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:09
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.55%E -2.75%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:09
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.55%E -2.75%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 23:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.55%E -2.75%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.70%E -2.62%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.55%E -2.75%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.76%E -3.26%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.50%E -0.812%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 23:49
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.50%E -0.812%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 23:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.50%E -0.812%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.50%E -0.812%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 23:49
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 21:49
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 21:44
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 22:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 23:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.23%E -2.94%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:29
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:22
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.83%E -3.90%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.42%E -3.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.36%E -4.23%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 23:40
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.89%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.89%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 23:49
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.89%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 23:49
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.89%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 23:49
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.89%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 23:48
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.89%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 23:49
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.35%E -4.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.57%E -1.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.35%E -4.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.36%E -4.23%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 18:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -3.63%E -2.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -3.63%E -2.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 23:49
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -5.23%E -2.94%K -6.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 23:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-15 19:35
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-16 00:04
ProphetX◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-08-16 01:45
Novig◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-08-16 01:30
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%3.0%2026-08-16 00:20
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%9.4%2026-08-16 01:45

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