Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-08-16 17:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 1–7 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 46.95%2.13odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.674%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%46.95%46.92%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.052.1051.28%49.04%48.78%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 53.05%1.88odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.709%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.05%53.08%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.801.801.8658.14%55.67%55.56%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 46.95%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 53.05%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.88. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.86, com valor esperado de -1.32%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -1.41%E -0.674%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-16 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.41%E -0.674%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 16:30
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.41%E -0.674%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 07:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.41%E -0.674%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 07:45
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.88%E -0.902%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-16 16:25
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 17:24
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 17:24
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 17:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 17:30
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.32%E -0.709%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 17:24
theScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 13:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 17:29
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:30
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:30
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:30
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:25
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 17:39
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 17:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 17:24
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 17:24
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:29
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 17:29
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:09
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:34
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.62%E -3.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:10
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 17:23
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 17:39
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 22:05
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.70%E -2.32%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:24
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:25
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:24
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:25
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 17:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.64%E -2.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:25
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 23:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.68%E -4.42%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 17:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.05%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.05%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.75%E -5.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.99%E -4.08%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 17:23
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:33
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 17:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-08-16 17:39
Novig◎2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%0.9%2026-08-16 17:40
ProphetX◎2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%0.9%2026-08-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-08-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-08-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-08-16 17:40
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-16 17:30
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-08-16 17:40
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-08-16 15:35
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-08-16 15:40