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Cincinnati Reds v Miami Marlins
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева)
Прогноз 46.95%2.13справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.41%
Преимущество -0.674%
Kelly -1.29%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.05%46.95%46.92%48.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.952.042.052.1051.28%49.04%48.78%47.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Miami Marlins (Гости)
Прогноз 53.05%1.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.32%
Преимущество -0.709%
Kelly -1.53%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.86
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.00%53.05%53.08%53.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.721.801.801.8658.14%55.67%55.56%53.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева): 46.95%; Miami Marlins (Гости): 53.05%. Для исхода «Miami Marlins (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.88. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 1.86, математическое ожидание — -1.32%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -1.41%E -0.674%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.41%E -0.674%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 16:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.41%E -0.674%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 07:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.41%E -0.674%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.88%E -0.902%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.32%E -0.709%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.85%E -0.999%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.62%E -3.76%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.70%E -2.32%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.64%E -2.81%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.68%E -4.42%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.05%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.05%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.56%E -3.13%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.75%E -5.08%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.99%E -4.08%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 17:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 17:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 15:40 |