默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds v Miami Marlins

2026-08-16 17:41 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds (主队)

预测 46.69%2.14公平赔率
EV +0.373%
优势 +0.174%
Kelly +0.324%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
45.57%46.63%46.70%47.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.032.022.1551.81%49.20%49.50%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Marlins (客队)

预测 53.31%1.88公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.739%
Kelly -1.61%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
52.22%53.37%53.30%54.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.741.801.801.8557.47%55.63%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Cincinnati Reds (主队):46.69%;Miami Marlins (客队):53.31%。 对于“Cincinnati Reds (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.14。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.15,由此产生+0.373%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.373%E +0.174%K +0.324%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 01:52
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.561%E -0.263%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.50%E -1.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 01:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.03%E -0.485%K -0.917%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.50%E -1.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 01:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.03%E -0.485%K -0.917%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.50%E -1.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 01:54
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.03%E -0.485%K -0.917%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.50%E -1.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 01:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.96%E -0.934%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.96%E -0.934%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 18:24
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.37%E -0.739%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-16 01:55
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-16 00:29
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.89%E -1.39%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 02:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.83%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.50%E -1.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:24
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:24
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 02:43
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 22:09
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 00:04
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 01:20
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 01:54
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 02:39
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 01:44
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:29
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.97%E -1.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 21:44
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.86%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 02:45
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 02:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 02:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 02:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:09
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:09
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 23:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.57%E -2.55%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:24
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.57%E -2.55%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:54
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.57%E -2.55%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:19
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 02:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 02:44
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 02:44
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 02:44
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 02:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 02:44
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.97%E -1.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 02:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.97%E -1.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 02:34
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 21:49
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 21:44
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 22:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 23:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.10%E -2.86%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:29
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:24
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:22
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.23%E -4.16%K -9.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.03%E -4.08%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 02:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.03%E -4.08%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 02:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.50%E -4.34%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.23%E -4.16%K -9.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 18:29
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.90%E -5.13%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -6.17%E -3.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 02:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-16 01:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-16 00:04
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-16 02:10
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-08-16 01:50
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%3.0%2026-08-16 00:20
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%9.1%2026-08-16 02:05

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