Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 44.39%2.25fair odd
EV -0.119%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.095%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.43%44.30%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.48%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 55.61%1.80fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.57%55.70%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.711.7560.61%58.28%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 44.39%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 55.61%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.253. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.250, with an expected value of -0.119%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.119%E -0.053%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.563%E -0.251%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.01%E -0.451%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 12:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 22:27 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.00%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.23%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.67%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.67%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 21:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 21:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 22:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.00%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:08 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.25%E -5.00%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 21:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 20:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 1.6% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
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