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Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

2026-07-29 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 45.09%2.22fair odd
EV +0.553%
Edge +0.248%
Kelly +0.450%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.97%45.03%45.17%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.112.102.2350.51%47.45%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 54.91%1.82fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.647%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.97%54.83%56.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.731.8060.24%57.62%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.553%E +0.248%K +0.450%G +0.002%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.91%E -2.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.349%E -0.158%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.91%E -2.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 19:20
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.349%E -0.158%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.91%E -2.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 19:19
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.05%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.16%E -0.647%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 18:20
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.05%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.05%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 19:39
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.05%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.11%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 19:04
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.05%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.11%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 19:39
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.36%E -1.91%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:04
MyBookie.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.36%E -1.91%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:14
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.81%E -1.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.81%E -1.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 18:44
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.91%E -2.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 18:09
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.91%E -2.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 18:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:04
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:14
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:14
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:14
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:15
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 19:39
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.21%E -2.99%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.91%E -2.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 18:19
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.21%E -2.99%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.56%E -3.23%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 18:04
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.81%E -1.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 19:14
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.46%E -2.56%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 18:09
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.20%E -4.26%K -10.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 18:09
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%EV -10.27%E -5.16%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.30%E -4.97%K -12.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.72%E -5.41%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -8.85%E -5.33%K -13.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-28 19:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-07-28 19:45
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%9.0%2026-07-28 19:25
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%10.1%2026-07-28 18:09