Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-07-29 23:11 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 1–6 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 44.39%2.25odd justa
EV -0.119%
Vantagem -0.053%
Kelly -0.095%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.43%44.30%45.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.48%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 55.61%1.80odd justa
EV -2.69%
Vantagem -1.53%
Kelly -3.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.09%55.57%55.70%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.711.7560.61%58.28%58.48%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 44.39%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 55.61%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.253. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.250, com valor esperado de -0.119%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.119%E -0.053%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-29 22:55
Everygame🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.563%E -0.251%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-29 22:55
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.01%E -0.451%K -0.818%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-29 23:10
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-29 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 22:55
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 23:00
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-29 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-29 23:00
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-29 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 12:29
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 22:27
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.00%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 21:40
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.23%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.67%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.67%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:00
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:00
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:00
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:00
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 22:59
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:00
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 22:30
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 22:29
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 20:00
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 11:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 22:35
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 23:09
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 21:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 12:30
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 14:50
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 22:25
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 22:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:05
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:00
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 21:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 21:35
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.00%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 18:55
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 21:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:39
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 23:00
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 23:10
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.25%E -5.00%K -12.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 23:10
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 23:10
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 22:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-07-29 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-29 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-29 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-29 23:00
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-07-29 23:10
ProphetX◎2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-07-29 23:10
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-29 21:20
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-29 20:30
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-07-29 23:10
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.8%2026-07-29 23:10