Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

2026-07-29 23:11 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

32 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cincinnati Reds (Casa)

Previsione 45.27%2.21quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.597%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%45.23%45.25%46.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.102.102.1850.51%47.71%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.73%1.83quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.830%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.66%54.77%54.75%55.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.741.751.8060.24%57.35%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.30%E -0.597%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.59%E -1.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 20:24
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.21%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.59%E -1.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 20:24
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.21%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.59%E -1.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 20:24
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.49%E -0.830%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 18:20
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 20:07
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 20:24
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 19:04
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.02%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:04
MyBookie.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.02%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.68%E -2.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:14
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 18:44
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 18:09
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 18:14
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 20:25
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 20:24
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:04
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:14
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:14
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:14
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:15
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:24
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 18:04
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 19:14
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 20:09
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 18:09
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.51%E -4.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 18:09
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%EV -9.90%E -4.98%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.61%E -5.15%K -12.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.36%E -5.23%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -9.16%E -5.52%K -13.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 18:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-28 20:35
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%1.5%2026-07-28 20:24
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-07-28 19:45
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%10.1%2026-07-28 18:09