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Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева)
Прогноз 44.39%2.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.119%
Преимущество -0.053%
Kelly -0.095%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.86%44.43%44.30%45.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.48%46.51%44.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cleveland Guardians (Гости)
Прогноз 55.61%1.80справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.69%
Преимущество -1.53%
Kelly -3.58%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
54.09%55.57%55.70%57.14%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.651.721.711.7560.61%58.28%58.48%57.14%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева): 44.39%; Cleveland Guardians (Гости): 55.61%. Для исхода «Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.253. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.250, математическое ожидание — -0.119%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.119%E -0.053%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.563%E -0.251%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.01%E -0.451%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 12:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 22:27 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.00%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.23%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.67%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.67%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 21:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 21:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 22:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.00%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:08 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.25%E -5.00%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 21:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 20:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 1.6% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |