默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

开赛时间: 2026-07-29 23:11 UTC

最终结果: Cincinnati Reds 1–6 Cleveland Guardians

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds (主队)

预测 44.39%2.25公平赔率
EV -0.119%
优势 -0.053%
Kelly -0.095%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
42.86%44.43%44.30%45.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.48%46.51%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cleveland Guardians (客队)

预测 55.61%1.80公平赔率
EV -2.69%
优势 -1.53%
Kelly -3.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
54.09%55.57%55.70%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.721.711.7560.61%58.28%58.48%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cincinnati Reds (主队):44.39%;Cleveland Guardians (客队):55.61%。 对于“Cincinnati Reds (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.253。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.250,期望值为-0.119%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.119%E -0.053%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-29 22:55
Everygame🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.563%E -0.251%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-29 22:55
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.01%E -0.451%K -0.818%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-29 23:10
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-29 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 22:55
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.653%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 23:00
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-29 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-29 23:00
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-29 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 12:29
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 22:27
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.00%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 21:40
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.23%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.67%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.67%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:00
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:00
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:00
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:00
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 22:59
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:00
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 22:30
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 22:29
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 20:00
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 11:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 22:35
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 23:09
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 21:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 12:30
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 14:50
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 22:25
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 22:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:05
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:00
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 21:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.56%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 21:35
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.00%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 18:55
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 21:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:39
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 23:00
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.78%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 23:10
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.67%E -3.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.25%E -5.00%K -12.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 23:10
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 23:10
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.00%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 22:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-07-29 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-29 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-07-29 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-29 23:00
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-07-29 23:10
ProphetX◎2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-07-29 23:10
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-29 21:20
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-29 20:30
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-07-29 23:10
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.8%2026-07-29 23:10