The School of Odds

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

2026-07-27 23:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 59.22%1.69fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.656%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%59.19%59.25%60.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.601.6764.94%62.15%62.50%59.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 40.78%2.45fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.547%
Kelly -0.932%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%40.81%40.75%41.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4245.45%42.80%42.55%41.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.10%E -0.656%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 18:35
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.32%E -0.547%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 18:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.14%E -0.891%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:05
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.14%E -0.891%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:05
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 18:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.28%E -1.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.22%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.46%E -2.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:45
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.46%E -2.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.22%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 18:20
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -4.06%E -2.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:50
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.06%E -2.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:15
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.06%E -2.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 19:05
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 18:40
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.59%E -1.96%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 18:40
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.14%E -0.891%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:50
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:40
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.22%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.22%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 18:15
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.83%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -5.83%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -5.81%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 18:48
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 18:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:40
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 18:05
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.79%E -5.71%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.29%E -4.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-26 18:45
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-26 18:35
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-07-26 19:20
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%10.0%2026-07-26 18:10