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Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева)
Прогноз 59.54%1.68справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.76%
Преимущество -1.06%
Kelly -2.70%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.21%59.60%59.49%60.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.31%62.50%60.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cleveland Guardians (Гости)
Прогноз 40.46%2.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.876%
Преимущество -0.357%
Kelly -0.604%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.24%40.40%40.51%41.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.252.372.382.4544.44%42.27%42.02%40.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева): 59.54%; Cleveland Guardians (Гости): 40.46%. Для исхода «Cleveland Guardians (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.47. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.45, математическое ожидание — -0.876%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.76%E -1.06%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.28%E -0.525%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-27 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.28%E -0.525%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-27 23:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.68%E -0.693%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-27 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.09%E -0.863%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.09%E -0.863%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 21:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-27 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -8.16%E -3.59%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 23:47 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.68%E -0.693%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 12:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.73%E -2.46%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 20:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 12:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 20:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 20:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.33%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 20:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.73%E -2.46%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 12:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -0.876%E -0.357%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -0.876%E -0.357%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 23:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 23:48 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 14:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 14:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.68%E -0.693%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-27 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 12:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 22:52 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.71%E -4.98%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 06:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.31%E -5.39%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-27 20:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05% | -0.1% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 14:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 23:45 |