Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-28 00:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 59.54%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -2.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.21%59.60%59.49%60.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.31%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.46%2.47cote équitable
EV -0.876%
Avantage -0.357%
Kelly -0.604%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.24%40.40%40.51%41.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.382.4544.44%42.27%42.02%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cincinnati Reds (Local) : 59.54% ; Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur) : 40.46%. Pour Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.47. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.45, pour une espérance de -0.876% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.76%E -1.06%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 23:05
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.28%E -0.525%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 21:45
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.28%E -0.525%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 23:35
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.68%E -0.693%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.09%E -0.863%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.09%E -0.863%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 21:45
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -8.16%E -3.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 23:47
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.68%E -0.693%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-27 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 12:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 22:55
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.73%E -2.46%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 23:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 23:09
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:40
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 20:15
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 12:20
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 20:14
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 20:35
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:50
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 12:20
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.33%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:15
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.73%E -2.46%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -0.876%E -0.357%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -0.876%E -0.357%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 20:45
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 23:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 23:48
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 20:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 20:45
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:10
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:05
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:50
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:50
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 14:31
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 14:31
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 12:20
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 22:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.68%E -0.693%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 22:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 12:20
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 20:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 20:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 22:52
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.71%E -4.98%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 06:34
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.31%E -5.39%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 20:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-07-27 21:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-07-27 23:55
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-27 14:40
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-27 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-27 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-27 23:45
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-07-27 23:00
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-07-27 23:50
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-07-27 23:45