La scuola delle quote

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

2026-07-27 23:10 UTC — MLB

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32 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Casa)

Previsione 59.18%1.69quota equa
EV -1.75%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.23%59.18%59.21%60.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.611.611.6664.94%62.14%62.11%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.82%2.45quota equa
EV -1.23%
Vantaggio -0.507%
Kelly -0.863%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%40.82%40.79%41.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.342.352.4245.45%42.79%42.55%41.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.75%E -1.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.45%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 19:45
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.35%E -1.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.23%E -0.507%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 18:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.35%E -1.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.04%E -0.851%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:05
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.35%E -1.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.04%E -0.851%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:05
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.35%E -1.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 18:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.35%E -1.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.53%E -2.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:45
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.53%E -2.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 18:20
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:50
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:15
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:48
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 20:15
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 19:05
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 20:25
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 18:40
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.49%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 18:40
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.31%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 19:35
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.04%E -0.851%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 18:40
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.04%E -0.851%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 19:55
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:50
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:40
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 18:15
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -5.72%E -2.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 18:48
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 18:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:40
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 18:05
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.86%E -5.75%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-26 20:00
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-26 20:15
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-26 20:20
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%10.0%2026-07-26 18:10