Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-07-28 00:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 59.54%1.68odd justa
EV -1.76%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -2.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.21%59.60%59.49%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.31%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 40.46%2.47odd justa
EV -0.876%
Vantagem -0.357%
Kelly -0.604%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%40.40%40.51%41.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.372.382.4544.44%42.27%42.02%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 59.54%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 40.46%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.47. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.45, com valor esperado de -0.876%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.76%E -1.06%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 23:05
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.28%E -0.525%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 21:45
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.28%E -0.525%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 23:35
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.68%E -0.693%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.09%E -0.863%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.09%E -0.863%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 21:45
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.35%E -1.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -8.16%E -3.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 23:47
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.68%E -0.693%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-27 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 12:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 22:55
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.73%E -2.46%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 22:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 23:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 23:09
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.54%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:40
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 20:15
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 12:20
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 20:14
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 20:35
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:50
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 12:20
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.33%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:15
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.73%E -2.46%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -0.876%E -0.357%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -0.876%E -0.357%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 20:45
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 23:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 23:48
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 20:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 20:45
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:10
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:05
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:50
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:50
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 14:31
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 14:31
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 12:20
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 22:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.68%E -0.693%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 22:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.11%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 12:20
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.71%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 20:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 20:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 22:52
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.71%E -4.98%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 06:34
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.31%E -5.39%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 20:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-07-27 21:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-07-27 23:55
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-27 14:40
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-27 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-27 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-27 23:45
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-07-27 23:00
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-07-27 23:50
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-07-27 23:45