Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-08-06 16:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 6–5 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 60.32%1.66fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.654%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%60.37%60.25%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.30%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 39.68%2.52fair odd
EV +0.386%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.252%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%39.63%39.75%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.422.422.5343.48%41.39%41.41%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 60.32%; Athletics (Visit): 39.68%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.386%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%EV +0.386%E +0.153%K +0.252%G +0.001%1.6%2026-08-06 16:34
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.804%E -0.322%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.804%E -0.322%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 14:39
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.60%E -0.644%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.60%E -0.644%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.99%E -0.808%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.99%E -0.808%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.99%E -0.808%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.68%E -1.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.39%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -2.39%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 16:29
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.39%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -1.68%E -1.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:25
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 15:50
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:14
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 16:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 16:35
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -3.18%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 15:20
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.07%E -0.654%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 15:54
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 15:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 16:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 16:35
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 11:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 15:45
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:14
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.10%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.10%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 15:50
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 15:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 14:44
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 16:34
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 16:35
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.52%E -6.34%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.84%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.16%EV -8.34%E -3.61%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 16:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 14:59
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 61.23%2.59I 38.61%NM 38.77%-0.4%2026-08-06 16:35
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-08-06 16:35
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-06 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-06 16:35
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-08-06 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-06 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-06 16:20
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-06 16:15
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 14:40
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 15:45