Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Cincinnati Reds v Athletics

Начало: 2026-08-06 16:41 UTC

Итог: Cincinnati Reds 6–5 Athletics

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

64 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева)

Прогноз 60.32%1.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.07%
Преимущество -0.654%
Kelly -1.68%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.64

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.97%60.37%60.25%61.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.30%63.69%60.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Athletics (Гости)

Прогноз 39.68%2.52справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.386%
Преимущество +0.153%
Kelly +0.252%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.53

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.44%39.63%39.75%41.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.422.422.5343.48%41.39%41.41%39.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева): 60.32%; Athletics (Гости): 39.68%. Для исхода «Athletics (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.52. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.53, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.386%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%EV +0.386%E +0.153%K +0.252%G +0.001%1.6%2026-08-06 16:34
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.804%E -0.322%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.804%E -0.322%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 14:39
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.60%E -0.644%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.60%E -0.644%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.99%E -0.808%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.99%E -0.808%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.99%E -0.808%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.68%E -1.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.39%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -2.39%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 16:29
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.39%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -1.68%E -1.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:25
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 15:50
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:14
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 16:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 16:35
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -3.18%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 15:20
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.07%E -0.654%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 15:54
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 15:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 16:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 16:35
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 11:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 15:45
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:14
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.10%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.10%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 15:50
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 15:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 14:44
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 16:34
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 16:35
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.52%E -6.34%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.84%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.16%EV -8.34%E -3.61%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 16:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 14:59
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 16:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
BetOpenly◎1.64I 60.98%NM 61.23%2.59I 38.61%NM 38.77%-0.4%2026-08-06 16:35
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-08-06 16:35
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-06 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-06 16:35
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-08-06 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-06 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-06 16:20
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-06 16:15
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 14:40
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 15:45