النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Cincinnati Reds v Athletics

البداية: 2026-08-06 16:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cincinnati Reds 6–5 Athletics

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Cincinnati Reds (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.32%1.66السعر العادل
EV -1.07%
الأفضلية -0.654%
Kelly -1.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.97%60.37%60.25%61.56%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.30%63.69%60.98%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Athletics (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.68%2.52السعر العادل
EV +0.386%
الأفضلية +0.153%
Kelly +0.252%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.44%39.63%39.75%41.03%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.422.422.5343.48%41.39%41.41%39.53%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Cincinnati Reds (المضيف)⁩: ⁨60.32%⁩؛ ⁨Athletics (الضيف)⁩: ⁨39.68%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Athletics (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.52⁩. عرضت شركة مراهنات واحدة (1) سعر إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.53⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+0.386%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%EV +0.386%E +0.153%K +0.252%G +0.001%1.6%2026-08-06 16:34
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.804%E -0.322%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.804%E -0.322%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 14:39
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.60%E -0.644%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.60%E -0.644%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.99%E -0.808%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.99%E -0.808%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.99%E -0.808%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.68%E -1.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.39%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -2.39%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 16:29
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.39%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -1.68%E -1.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:25
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 15:50
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:14
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 16:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 16:35
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -3.18%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 15:20
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.07%E -0.654%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 15:54
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 15:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 16:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 16:35
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 11:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 15:45
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:14
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.10%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.10%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 15:50
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 15:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 14:44
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 16:34
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 16:35
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.52%E -6.34%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.84%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.16%EV -8.34%E -3.61%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 16:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 14:59
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 16:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly◎1.64I 60.98%NM 61.23%2.59I 38.61%NM 38.77%-0.4%2026-08-06 16:35
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-08-06 16:35
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-06 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-06 16:35
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-08-06 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-06 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-06 16:20
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-06 16:15
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 14:40
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 15:45