Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Athletics

Início: 2026-08-06 16:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 6–5 Athletics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 60.32%1.66odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.654%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.97%60.37%60.25%61.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.30%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 39.68%2.52odd justa
EV +0.386%
Vantagem +0.153%
Kelly +0.252%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.44%39.63%39.75%41.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.422.422.5343.48%41.39%41.41%39.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 60.32%; Athletics (Visitante): 39.68%. Para Athletics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.52. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.53, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.386%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%EV +0.386%E +0.153%K +0.252%G +0.001%1.6%2026-08-06 16:34
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.804%E -0.322%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.804%E -0.322%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 14:39
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.60%E -0.644%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.60%E -0.644%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.99%E -0.808%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.99%E -0.808%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.99%E -0.808%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.68%E -1.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.39%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -2.39%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 16:29
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.39%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -1.68%E -1.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 16:25
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 15:50
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:14
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 16:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:50
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 16:35
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -3.18%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 15:20
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.07%E -0.654%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 15:54
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 15:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 16:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 16:35
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 11:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 15:45
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:14
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.10%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.10%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 15:50
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 15:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 14:44
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 16:34
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 16:35
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.52%E -6.34%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.76%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.84%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.16%EV -8.34%E -3.61%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 16:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.29%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 14:59
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 16:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.64I 60.98%NM 61.23%2.59I 38.61%NM 38.77%-0.4%2026-08-06 16:35
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-08-06 16:35
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-06 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-06 16:35
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-08-06 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-06 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-06 16:20
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-06 16:15
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 14:40
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-06 15:45