Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Athletics

2026-08-06 16:40 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 59.06%1.69odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -3.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.29%59.06%59.06%59.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.621.621.6564.10%61.88%61.73%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 40.94%2.44odd justa
EV +0.315%
Vantagem +0.128%
Kelly +0.217%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.24%40.94%40.94%41.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.232.322.302.4544.84%43.16%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 59.06%; Athletics (Visitante): 40.94%. Para Athletics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.44. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.45, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.315%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV +0.315%E +0.128%K +0.217%G +0.001%1.4%2026-08-06 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -0.914%E -0.378%K -0.643%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 00:15
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.32%E -0.549%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 01:05
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.73%E -0.722%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 01:30
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 00:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 22:00
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 01:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.19%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.60%E -1.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:44
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.60%E -1.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.60%E -1.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.15%E -1.92%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.01%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.15%E -1.92%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.01%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.15%E -1.92%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.01%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.15%E -1.92%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.01%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.15%E -1.92%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.01%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:20
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -5.01%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 21:45
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.01%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -6.10%E -3.84%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -5.42%E -2.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 22:55
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:20
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:19
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:19
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 23:39
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:54
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:54
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:55
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.10%E -3.84%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.83%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 22:54
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.65%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:20
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -7.06%E -3.11%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 23:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.28%E -4.64%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.87%E -5.05%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -7.87%E -5.05%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.69%E -3.90%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-08-06 00:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-06 01:30
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-05 22:40
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-08-06 00:35
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-06 01:30
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-08-06 00:15
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%9.1%2026-08-06 01:20