Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 65.48%1.53fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.39%65.55%65.48%67.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.99%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 34.52%2.90fair odd
EV +0.099%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.052%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%34.45%34.52%35.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.782.802.9039.22%35.98%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 65.48%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 34.52%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.897. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.900, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.099%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.099%E +0.034%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 23:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.32%E -5.95%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.591%E -0.205%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.28%E -0.448%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 23:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -1.97%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.43%E -1.63%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -2.32%E -0.819%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 23:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 21:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 00:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 20:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.42%E -1.98%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.26%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-28 00:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08% | -0.2% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86% | 0.1% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-28 00:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-28 00:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.14% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.86% | 9.8% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |