La escuela de los momios

Chicago Cubs v Washington Nationals

Inicio: 2026-03-28 18:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Predicción 65.48%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -3.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.39%65.55%65.48%67.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.99%68.97%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 34.52%2.90momio equitativo
EV +0.099%
Ventaja +0.034%
Kelly +0.052%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.71%34.45%34.52%35.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.782.802.9039.22%35.98%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.099%E +0.034%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.32%E -5.95%K -20.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.591%E -0.205%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 18:25
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.28%E -0.448%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 23:24
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:34
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 03:10
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -1.97%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-27 23:50
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.43%E -1.63%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -2.32%E -0.819%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 01:35
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 01:35
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 01:35
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:20
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:45
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:25
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:24
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:34
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:35
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:30
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 03:10
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:20
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:20
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 00:24
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:00
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:34
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 22:35
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:30
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:35
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:40
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:35
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:35
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:45
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 20:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:20
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 01:35
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.42%E -1.98%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 01:35
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-28 01:35
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-28 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.26%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-28 01:35
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08%-0.2%2026-03-27 22:30
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86%0.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-28 00:45
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-28 00:45
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-28 02:35
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-03-28 01:40
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 64.14%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.86%9.8%2026-03-28 00:05