L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 18:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 65.48%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -3.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.39%65.55%65.48%67.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.99%68.97%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.52%2.90cote équitable
EV +0.099%
Avantage +0.034%
Kelly +0.052%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.71%34.45%34.52%35.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.782.802.9039.22%35.98%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.099%E +0.034%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.32%E -5.95%K -20.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.591%E -0.205%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 18:25
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.28%E -0.448%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 23:24
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:34
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 03:10
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -1.97%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-27 23:50
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.43%E -1.63%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -2.32%E -0.819%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 01:35
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 01:35
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 01:35
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:20
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:45
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:25
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:24
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:34
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:35
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:30
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 03:10
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:20
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:20
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 00:24
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:00
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:34
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 22:35
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:30
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:35
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:40
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:35
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:35
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:45
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 20:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:20
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 01:35
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.42%E -1.98%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 01:35
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-28 01:35
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-28 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.26%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-28 01:35
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08%-0.2%2026-03-27 22:30
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86%0.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-28 00:45
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-28 00:45
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-28 02:35
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-03-28 01:40
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 64.14%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.86%9.8%2026-03-28 00:05