La scuola delle quote

Chicago Cubs v Washington Nationals

Inizio: 2026-03-28 18:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 65.48%1.53quota equa
EV -1.78%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -3.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.39%65.55%65.48%67.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.99%68.97%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Nationals (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.52%2.90quota equa
EV +0.099%
Vantaggio +0.034%
Kelly +0.052%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.71%34.45%34.52%35.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.782.802.9039.22%35.98%35.71%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.099%E +0.034%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.32%E -5.95%K -20.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.591%E -0.205%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 18:25
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.28%E -0.448%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 23:24
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:34
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 03:10
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -1.97%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-27 23:50
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.43%E -1.63%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -2.32%E -0.819%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 01:35
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 01:35
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 01:35
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:20
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:45
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:25
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:24
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:34
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:35
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:30
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 03:10
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:20
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:20
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 00:24
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:00
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:34
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 22:35
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:30
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:35
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:40
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:35
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:35
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:45
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 20:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:20
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 01:35
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.42%E -1.98%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 01:35
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-28 01:35
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-28 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.26%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-28 01:35
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08%-0.2%2026-03-27 22:30
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86%0.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-28 00:45
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-28 00:45
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-28 02:35
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-03-28 01:40
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 64.14%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.86%9.8%2026-03-28 00:05