مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Washington Nationals

البداية: 2026-03-28 18:20 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 65.48%1.53السعر العادل
EV -1.78%
الأفضلية -1.18%
Kelly -3.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.39%65.55%65.48%67.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.99%68.97%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.52%2.90السعر العادل
EV +0.099%
الأفضلية +0.034%
Kelly +0.052%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.71%34.45%34.52%35.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.782.802.9039.22%35.98%35.71%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.099%E +0.034%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.32%E -5.95%K -20.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.591%E -0.205%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 18:25
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -1.28%E -0.448%K -0.689%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 23:24
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:34
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.63%E -0.571%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 03:10
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -1.97%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-27 23:50
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.43%E -1.63%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -2.32%E -0.819%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 01:35
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 01:35
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 01:35
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 01:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:20
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:45
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:25
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:24
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:34
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:35
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:30
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 03:10
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:20
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:20
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 00:24
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:00
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:34
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 22:35
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:30
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:35
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:40
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:35
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:35
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:45
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 20:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:20
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 01:35
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.78%E -1.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.42%E -1.98%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 01:35
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-28 01:35
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-28 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.26%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-28 01:35
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08%-0.2%2026-03-27 22:30
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86%0.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-28 00:45
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-28 00:45
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-28 02:35
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-03-28 01:40
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 64.14%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.86%9.8%2026-03-28 00:05