Language:English
Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 63.16%1.58fair odd
EV -0.208%
Edge -0.132%
Kelly -0.358%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.30%63.15%63.21%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.36%66.45%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 36.84%2.71fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.477%
Kelly +0.749%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.85%36.79%39.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.38%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 63.16%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 36.84%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +1.31%E +0.477%K +0.749%G +0.010% | 2.6% | 2026-08-14 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.89%E -3.95%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.89%E -3.95%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -0.899%E -0.334%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -0.899%E -0.334%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%EV -1.27%E -0.473%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.64%E -0.613%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -10.31%E -7.26%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.48%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.48%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.85%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 17:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.95%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 18:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.79%E -2.69%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 18:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.64%E -3.48%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.64%E -3.48%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -9.00%E -3.65%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 17:51 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -0.208%E -0.132%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -0.208%E -0.132%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 17:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 17:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |