The School of Odds
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Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-14 18:20 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 61.67%1.62fair odd
EV -0.707%
Edge -0.439%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.80%61.65%61.58%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.551.6167.11%64.65%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 38.33%2.61fair odd
EV -0.348%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.218%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.35%38.42%40.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.482.492.6042.55%40.32%40.16%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Cubs (Local): 61.67%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 38.33%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.60, with an expected value of -0.348%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.707%E -0.439%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -3.80%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 00:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.94%E -1.22%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -0.348%E -0.134%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-13 23:29
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -2.56%E -1.62%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -6.48%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 22:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.56%E -1.62%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.93%E -4.23%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 01:29
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -3.17%E -2.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.348%E -0.134%K -0.218%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-13 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.17%E -2.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.11%E -0.432%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-13 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.17%E -2.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.11%E -0.432%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-13 19:30
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.17%E -2.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.50%E -0.583%K -0.954%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 23:59
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.17%E -2.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.65%E -1.04%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-13 20:34
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.17%E -2.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 21:59
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.79%E -2.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.79%E -2.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 20:15
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.79%E -2.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.79%E -2.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.86%E -2.82%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 20:18
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 00:24
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 00:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 00:14
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 00:24
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 00:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 00:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 00:14
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 00:24
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 01:24
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.33%E -2.16%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 20:14
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 20:15
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:44
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 01:04
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -7.63%E -3.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 22:24
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.02%E -3.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.03%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 21:44
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.02%E -3.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.41%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 01:09
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.02%E -3.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.95%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 01:25
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.02%E -3.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.95%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 01:24
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.02%E -3.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.95%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 00:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.02%E -3.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 19:29
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.02%E -3.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 20:19
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.02%E -3.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.02%E -3.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.48%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 20:14
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.26%E -0.888%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 22:44
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 22:45
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 00:24
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 19:27
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 19:28
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 20:14
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 20:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 20:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 20:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 00:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.10%E -2.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.26%E -4.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 01:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.87%E -4.55%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 00:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.49%E -4.99%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.93%E -4.23%K -7.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 19:29
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.11%E -5.44%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 00:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-08-14 01:10
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-13 22:30
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-08-14 01:34
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-08-14 01:40
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%9.8%2026-08-13 21:14

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