Idioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 63.16%1.58momio equitativo
EV -0.208%
Ventaja -0.132%
Kelly -0.358%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.30%63.15%63.21%65.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.36%66.45%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)
Predicción 36.84%2.71momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.477%
Kelly +0.749%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.94%36.85%36.79%39.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.38%38.46%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Cubs (Local): 63.16%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 36.84%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.71. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.31%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +1.31%E +0.477%K +0.749%G +0.010% | 2.6% | 2026-08-14 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.89%E -3.95%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.89%E -3.95%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -0.899%E -0.334%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -0.899%E -0.334%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%EV -1.27%E -0.473%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.64%E -0.613%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -10.31%E -7.26%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.48%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.48%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.85%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 17:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.95%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 18:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.79%E -2.69%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 18:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.64%E -3.48%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.64%E -3.48%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -9.00%E -3.65%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 17:51 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -0.208%E -0.132%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -0.208%E -0.132%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 17:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 17:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |