Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 18:20 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 3–0 St. Louis Cardinals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 63.16%1.58cote équitable
EV -0.208%
Avantage -0.132%
Kelly -0.358%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.30%63.15%63.21%65.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.36%66.45%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.84%2.71cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.477%
Kelly +0.749%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.94%36.85%36.79%39.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.38%38.46%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 63.16% ; St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur) : 36.84%. Pour St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.71. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.75, soit une espérance positive de +1.31%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +1.31%E +0.477%K +0.749%G +0.010%2.6%2026-08-14 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-14 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.89%E -3.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.89%E -3.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 18:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 18:15
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:14
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 18:14
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 18:15
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -0.899%E -0.334%K -0.532%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 17:34
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -0.899%E -0.334%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%EV -1.27%E -0.473%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-14 16:59
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.64%E -0.613%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 18:04
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 18:04
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 18:09
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -10.31%E -7.26%K -24.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.48%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.48%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.85%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 17:54
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:54
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 18:14
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:14
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.95%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 18:14
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 12:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 15:25
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:54
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:39
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:54
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 18:13
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.79%E -2.69%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:14
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 18:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 14:29
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 16:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 17:09
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.64%E -3.48%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.64%E -3.48%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -9.00%E -3.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 17:51
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -0.208%E -0.132%K -0.358%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -0.208%E -0.132%K -0.358%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-14 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-14 18:15
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-14 18:15
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-14 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-14 18:15
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-14 18:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-14 17:59
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-14 17:49
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-14 15:39
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-14 14:49