默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

开赛时间: 2026-08-14 18:20 UTC

最终结果: Chicago Cubs 3–0 St. Louis Cardinals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs (主队)

预测 63.16%1.58公平赔率
EV -0.208%
优势 -0.132%
Kelly -0.358%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.58

博彩公司预测分布
60.30%63.15%63.21%65.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.36%66.45%63.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

St. Louis Cardinals (客队)

预测 36.84%2.71公平赔率
EV +1.31%
优势 +0.477%
Kelly +0.749%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
34.94%36.85%36.79%39.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.38%38.46%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chicago Cubs (主队):63.16%;St. Louis Cardinals (客队):36.84%。 对于“St. Louis Cardinals (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.71。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.75,对应+1.31%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +1.31%E +0.477%K +0.749%G +0.010%2.6%2026-08-14 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-14 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.89%E -3.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.89%E -3.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 18:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 18:15
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:14
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 18:14
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 18:15
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -0.899%E -0.334%K -0.532%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 17:34
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -0.899%E -0.334%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%EV -1.27%E -0.473%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-14 16:59
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.64%E -0.613%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 18:04
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 18:04
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 18:09
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -10.31%E -7.26%K -24.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.48%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.48%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.85%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 17:54
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:54
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 18:14
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:14
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.95%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 18:14
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 12:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 15:25
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:54
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:39
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:54
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 18:13
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.79%E -2.69%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:14
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 18:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 14:29
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 16:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 17:09
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.64%E -3.48%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.64%E -3.48%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -9.00%E -3.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 17:51
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -0.208%E -0.132%K -0.358%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -0.208%E -0.132%K -0.358%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-14 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-14 18:15
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-14 18:15
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-14 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-14 18:15
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-14 18:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-14 17:59
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-14 17:49
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-14 15:39
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-14 14:49