Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

Początek: 2026-08-14 18:20 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Chicago Cubs 3–0 St. Louis Cardinals

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 63.16%1.58kurs godziwy
EV -0.208%
Przewaga -0.132%
Kelly -0.358%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.58

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.30%63.15%63.21%65.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.36%66.45%63.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

St. Louis Cardinals (Goście)

Prognoza 36.84%2.71kurs godziwy
EV +1.31%
Przewaga +0.477%
Kelly +0.749%
Wzrost +0.010%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.94%36.85%36.79%39.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.38%38.46%36.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze): 63.16%; St. Louis Cardinals (Goście): 36.84%. Dla wyniku St. Louis Cardinals (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.71. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.31%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +1.31%E +0.477%K +0.749%G +0.010%2.6%2026-08-14 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-14 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.89%E -3.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.89%E -3.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 18:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 18:15
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:14
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 18:14
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.531%E -0.197%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 18:15
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -0.899%E -0.334%K -0.532%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 17:34
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -0.899%E -0.334%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%EV -1.27%E -0.473%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-14 16:59
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.64%E -0.613%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 18:04
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.47%E -0.943%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 18:04
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 18:09
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -10.31%E -7.26%K -24.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -3.11%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.48%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.48%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.85%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 17:54
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:54
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.37%E -2.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 18:14
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:15
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:14
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.16%E -4.87%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.95%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 18:14
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 12:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 15:25
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.63%E -3.07%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:54
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:39
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:54
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 18:13
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.42%E -5.81%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.06%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.00%E -2.63%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.79%E -2.69%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:14
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 18:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 14:29
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.10%E -1.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 16:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 17:09
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.64%E -3.48%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.73%E -1.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.64%E -3.48%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -6.52%E -4.41%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -9.00%E -3.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 17:51
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -0.208%E -0.132%K -0.358%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -0.208%E -0.132%K -0.358%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-14 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-14 18:15
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-14 18:15
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-14 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-14 18:15
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-14 18:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-14 17:59
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-14 17:49
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-14 15:39
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-14 14:49