Language:English
Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 59.80%1.67fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.807%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%59.86%59.75%61.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.73%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 40.20%2.49fair odd
EV +0.905%
Edge +0.360%
Kelly +0.599%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.46%40.14%40.25%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.372.5144.44%41.92%42.19%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 59.80%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 40.20%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.905%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.905%E +0.360%K +0.599%G +0.005% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.503%E +0.201%K +0.335%G +0.002% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.503%E +0.201%K +0.335%G +0.002% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.301%E -0.121%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 00:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -1.11%E -0.449%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -1.11%E -0.449%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 00:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.31%E -0.951%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.71%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.53%E -1.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 00:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.13%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.33%E -0.807%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 22:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.93%E -1.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |