Die Schule der Quoten

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-05 01:06 UTC

Endstand: Chicago Cubs 0–3 St. Louis Cardinals

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 59.80%1.67faire Quote
EV -1.33%
Vorteil -0.807%
Kelly -2.05%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.44%59.86%59.75%61.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.73%62.50%60.61%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (Auswärts)

Prognose 40.20%2.49faire Quote
EV +0.905%
Vorteil +0.360%
Kelly +0.599%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.51

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.46%40.14%40.25%41.56%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.252.392.372.5144.44%41.92%42.19%39.84%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.905%E +0.360%K +0.599%G +0.005%2.3%2026-07-05 01:00
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.503%E +0.201%K +0.335%G +0.002%2.5%2026-07-05 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.503%E +0.201%K +0.335%G +0.002%2.5%2026-07-05 01:00
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.301%E -0.121%K -0.204%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:55
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -1.11%E -0.449%K -0.757%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 01:00
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -1.11%E -0.449%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:40
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 01:00
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 01:04
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.31%E -0.951%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:45
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.71%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 00:30
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.53%E -1.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 23:15
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 00:20
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:40
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 01:05
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 23:59
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 00:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 00:50
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.13%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 00:10
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.33%E -0.807%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 11:35
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:14
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:25
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:10
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:15
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:10
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:05
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:05
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:15
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:15
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:15
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:15
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.93%E -1.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 00:50
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 00:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 00:10
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 01:05
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 01:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (9)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-04 23:30
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-04 22:20
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-05 01:05
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-07-05 01:05
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-07-05 01:04
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%7.2%2026-07-05 00:50