La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 59.80%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.807%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%59.86%59.75%61.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.73%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)
Predicción 40.20%2.49momio equitativo
EV +0.905%
Ventaja +0.360%
Kelly +0.599%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.46%40.14%40.25%41.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.372.5144.44%41.92%42.19%39.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.905%E +0.360%K +0.599%G +0.005% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.503%E +0.201%K +0.335%G +0.002% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.503%E +0.201%K +0.335%G +0.002% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.301%E -0.121%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 00:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -1.11%E -0.449%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -1.11%E -0.449%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 00:40 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:04 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.31%E -0.951%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.71%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.53%E -1.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 00:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 00:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 23:59 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.13%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.33%E -0.807%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 22:14 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.93%E -1.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 00:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Novig | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |