语言:简体中文
Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Chicago Cubs (主队)
预测 59.80%1.67公平赔率
EV -1.33%
优势 -0.807%
Kelly -2.05%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.65
博彩公司预测分布
58.44%59.86%59.75%61.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.73%62.50%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
St. Louis Cardinals (客队)
预测 40.20%2.49公平赔率
EV +0.905%
优势 +0.360%
Kelly +0.599%
增长率 +0.005%
假设最高赔率为 2.51
博彩公司预测分布
38.46%40.14%40.25%41.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.392.372.5144.44%41.92%42.19%39.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chicago Cubs (主队)：59.80%；St. Louis Cardinals (客队)：40.20%。 对于“St. Louis Cardinals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.49。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.51，对应+0.905%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.905%E +0.360%K +0.599%G +0.005% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.503%E +0.201%K +0.335%G +0.002% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.503%E +0.201%K +0.335%G +0.002% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.301%E -0.121%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 00:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -1.11%E -0.449%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -1.11%E -0.449%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 00:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.51%E -0.615%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 01:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.31%E -0.951%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.71%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.53%E -1.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 00:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.13%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.33%E -0.807%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 11:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 22:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.93%E -1.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.33%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (9)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 01:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |