Language:English
Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 53.57%1.87fair odd
EV +5.00%
Edge +2.55%
Kelly +5.21%
Growth +0.260%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.87%53.03%53.65%54.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.781.9658.82%55.93%56.18%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 46.43%2.15fair odd
EV -0.643%
Edge -0.300%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.77%46.97%46.35%52.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.042.052.1455.56%49.09%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 53.57%; New York Yankees (Visit): 46.43%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV +5.00%E +2.55%K +5.21%G +0.260% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -16.43%E -9.13%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV +0.179%E +0.096%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.179%E +0.096%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.179%E +0.096%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.179%E +0.096%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.18%E -7.05%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.893%E -0.483%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.46%E -4.85%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%EV -0.643%E -0.300%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.57%E -0.741%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.04%E -1.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.11%E -0.520%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.07%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.54%E -4.33%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.61%E -3.82%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 23:02 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.86%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -9.93%E -5.12%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.93%E -5.25%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.