The School of Odds
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Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees

2026-08-01 23:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 46.37%2.16fair odd
EV +0.617%
Edge +0.284%
Kelly +0.527%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.38%46.32%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.052.052.1751.55%48.67%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 53.63%1.86fair odd
EV -0.779%
Edge -0.421%
Kelly -0.917%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.62%53.68%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.781.781.8559.52%56.25%56.18%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Cubs (Local): 46.37%; New York Yankees (Visit): 53.63%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.17, producing a positive expected value of +0.617%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.617%E +0.284%K +0.527%G +0.003%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -4.00%E -2.23%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 17:19
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.774%E -0.362%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 17:10
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.63%E -1.25%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 18:19
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.63%E -1.25%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.07%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 17:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.63%E -1.25%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:14
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.56%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.779%E -0.421%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 17:59
MyBookie.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.56%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.23%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 17:53
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.56%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 17:14
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.02%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.779%E -0.421%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 17:45
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.02%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.779%E -0.421%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 17:49
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.02%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.53%E -2.55%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 17:49
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.07%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:04
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:09
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:08
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.07%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 18:04
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:14
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:19
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:14
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:49
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.41%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:09
Betclic (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.41%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 17:50
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.34%E -3.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.34%E -3.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:04
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.27%E -3.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:19
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.27%E -3.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 17:14
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -9.12%E -4.65%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 17:49
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.05%E -5.18%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.90%E -5.89%K -14.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-31 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%-0.1%2026-07-31 19:00
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-31 19:10
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-07-31 19:25
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%9.8%2026-07-31 17:49