Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.96
avec la cote maximale 2.14
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 53.57% ; New York Yankees (Visiteur) : 46.43%. Pour Chicago Cubs (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.87. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.96, soit une espérance positive de +5.00%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV +5.00%E +2.55%K +5.21%G +0.260% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -16.43%E -9.13%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV +0.179%E +0.096%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.179%E +0.096%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.179%E +0.096%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.179%E +0.096%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.18%E -7.05%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.893%E -0.483%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.46%E -4.85%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%EV -0.643%E -0.300%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.57%E -0.741%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.04%E -1.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.11%E -0.520%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.07%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.54%E -4.33%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.61%E -3.82%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 23:02 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.86%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -9.93%E -5.12%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.93%E -5.25%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |