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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees

2026-08-01 23:16 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs (主队)

预测 46.63%2.14公平赔率
EV +1.18%
优势 +0.546%
Kelly +1.01%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 2.17

博彩公司预测分布
45.17%46.56%46.70%47.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.922.052.052.1752.08%48.87%48.78%46.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Yankees (客队)

预测 53.37%1.87公平赔率
EV -1.26%
优势 -0.683%
Kelly -1.49%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
52.63%53.44%53.30%54.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.781.791.8558.82%56.11%55.87%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Chicago Cubs (主队)：46.63%；New York Yankees (客队)：53.37%。 对于“Chicago Cubs (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.14。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.17，由此产生+1.18%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +1.18%E +0.546%K +1.01%G +0.012%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 17:19
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.215%E -0.100%K -0.189%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.40%E -1.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 17:10
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.08%E -0.991%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.33%E -1.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 18:19
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.08%E -0.991%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.53%E -3.13%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 17:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.08%E -0.991%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:14
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.01%E -1.45%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.26%E -0.683%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 17:59
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.01%E -1.45%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 17:14
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.48%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.26%E -0.683%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 17:45
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.48%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.26%E -0.683%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 17:49
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.95%E -1.92%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.93%E -2.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 20:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.93%E -2.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:04
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.93%E -2.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.93%E -2.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:09
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.93%E -2.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:08
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 20:09
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:19
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:49
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.88%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.93%E -2.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:09
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.88%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 20:04
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.81%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.93%E -2.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:05
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.81%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.93%E -2.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.81%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.93%E -2.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:04
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.81%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.53%E -3.13%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 20:10
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.93%E -2.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:19
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 20:04
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 20:04
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-31 20:04
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -9.54%E -4.92%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -8.73%E -5.11%K -12.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -10.47%E -5.45%K -11.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.27%E -5.45%K -13.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-31 20:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-31 19:35
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-31 19:10
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-07-31 20:08
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%9.5%2026-07-31 20:05