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Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 53.57%1.87momio equitativo
EV +5.00%
Ventaja +2.55%
Kelly +5.21%
Crecimiento +0.260%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.87%53.03%53.65%54.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.791.781.9658.82%55.93%56.18%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Yankees (Visitante)
Predicción 46.43%2.15momio equitativo
EV -0.643%
Ventaja -0.300%
Kelly -0.564%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.77%46.97%46.35%52.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.802.042.052.1455.56%49.09%48.78%46.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Cubs (Local): 53.57%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 46.43%. Para Chicago Cubs (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.87. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.96, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.00%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV +5.00%E +2.55%K +5.21%G +0.260% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -16.43%E -9.13%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV +0.179%E +0.096%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.179%E +0.096%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.179%E +0.096%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.179%E +0.096%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.18%E -7.05%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.893%E -0.483%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.46%E -4.85%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%EV -0.643%E -0.300%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.57%E -0.741%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.50%E -1.37%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.04%E -1.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.11%E -0.520%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 22:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.25%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.89%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.21%E -3.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.07%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.54%E -4.33%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.82%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.61%E -3.82%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 23:02 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.86%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -9.93%E -5.12%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.93%E -5.25%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 23:10 |